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Monthly Risk Report: Ontario

Ontario's police-reported crime picture, with the property trends that matter most for retail, commercial and residential sites.

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Report date: · Police-reported crime, 2025 (Statistics Canada)

57.2Ontario Crime Severity Index [1]Down 6% from 2024; 12% higher than 2015
4,296Incidents per 100,000 people in Ontario [1]Down 4% from 2024; 20% higher than 2015
+11%Shoplifting under $5,000, Canada [2]502 per 100,000; 79% higher than 2015
-16%Motor vehicle theft, Canada [2]201 per 100,000 in 2025

Ontario's Crime Severity Index was 57.2 in 2025, 6% lower than in 2024 but 12% higher than in 2015. Its police-reported crime rate fell 4% to 4,296 incidents per 100,000 people, which is still 20% above the 2015 level.

Across Canada, Statistics Canada reports that motor vehicle theft fell 16% and breaking and entering fell 11% in 2025, while shoplifting of $5,000 or under rose 11% for a fifth straight year. Fraud fell 4% but remains 61% higher than in 2015. Statistics Canada notes that only about half of break-ins and vehicle thefts are reported to police.

For Ontario sites, the pattern in recent briefings is familiar: daytime retail theft, after-hours commercial break-ins targeting specific equipment, and fraud that exploits trusted processes such as vehicle financing. Each calls for a different control, which is why one-size-fits-all security rarely works.

What site managers can do

  • Retail: focus on entrances and high-value categories at peak hours, with clear staff safety rules.
  • Commercial units: remove or secure high-value equipment visible from outside, and verify alarms quickly.
  • Dealerships: tighten identity and hand-off checks, as well as overnight lot security.
  • Keep consistent incident logs so trends can be shown to police, landlords and insurers.

Sources

  1. Statistics Canada, Table 3: Police-reported Crime Severity Index and crime rate, by province or territory, 2025 (Jul 22, 2026)
  2. Statistics Canada, The Daily: Police-reported crime statistics in Canada, 2025 (Jul 22, 2026)

Figures are quoted from the official sources above. Reported crime understates actual crime, and year-to-year changes can reflect reporting changes.

Plan with local data

Talk to us about your site

Our team can review local incident trends with you as part of a free security assessment.

24/7: 1-800-730-3712, Press 1 Canada · 2 USA · 3 Australia.

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